The bull is back!


Hi!

Welcome to Web3 Bits, where I share a few of the most interesting web3 bits for you to consumer over the weekend.

It's been a good six months since my last missive. Life's been busy, but I'm glad to be back! If there's anything you'd like me to cover, write about or questions to answer - just let me know in a reply email and I'll get to it next time!

The bull is back!

In September last year I wrote about why I'm getting more bullish which turned out to be fairly prescient:

Outside money can onboard once we receive regulatory clarity, something that's happening outside the US and more and more inside the US over the next 6-12 months. Odds are that a BTC ETF will be approved and this will drive new inflows into the ecosystem. The narrative of ‘anyone who wanted to buy bitcoin, already did” is completely false. Put that together with a BTC halving next year and that could be enough to set everything on fire.

It's very exciting to be back in a bull market. Now is a good time to take a step back and remember the pitfalls of bull markets:

  • Prices fluctuate and so do our emotions. Violent price movements remove the apathy that we got used to during the bear market. At highs, we're high. When prices drop we're down. Our internal greed/fear index goes crazy. On the upswings we feel like we don't hold enough coins. We get greedy and fear not having enough upside.
  • The noise in the industry rises to stupid, ridiculous levels and it's hard to focus on what's real. The problem is that the noise isn't only loud, it's also very believable: influencers and thought leaders are as swept up in the bull market as you are. It's easy to fall into the 'well if that X person is saying that 10,000 PFP collections are the next thing, it must be true!".
  • Grifters and stupid projects abound. Capital becomes cheap and with it, bad projects.

All of this leads me to a few personal conclusions for this bull market:

  • Hang on to your inner common sense and first principles thinking. Products need to solve a user pain point and tokens need a reason to exist.
  • Lower the volume: I listen to a ridiculous number of web3 and finance podcasts (some are listed here). It's time to pick the episodes and hosts more carefully, and remember that media companies suffer bull market mania just as badly.
  • Discipline in investing. Set price targets early and stick to them. Don't over trade. Don't fuck up a simple investment thesis.

Writings

Hi! I'm Yosh, founder of Designing Tokenomics

I'm not great at writing bio's, but you can check out my work: 🎧 I host the Ethereum Audible podcast 💎 I write & teach tokenomics @ https://designingtokenomics.com 🏔 Build Alpe Audio: audio courses @ https://alpeaudio.com

Read more from Hi! I'm Yosh, founder of Designing Tokenomics

Hi! Welcome to Web3 Bits, where I share a few of the most interesting web3 bits for you to consumer over the weekend. I've recently started sharing my investment journey (equities and crypto) on Substack, it's different, yet similar, to how I look at tokenomics. If investments and portfolio management interest you - you're welcome to read along here. I'm also adding a new corner to the web3 weekend bits: Frens corner! I'll be adding in an interesting snippet, article, podcast or piece of...

Hi! Welcome to Web3 Bits, where I share a few of the most interesting web3 bits for you to consumer over the weekend. This week I decided to dive into a new cool tokenomics model I've been having lots of fun with on Farcaster for the past month: $DEGEN. It's got a lot more going for it than just being a meme coin and good vibes. The team has implemented a few cool and simple mechanics that have really made things click. One of my key questions though are: is this sustainable and what needs to...

Hi! Welcome to Web3 Bits, where I share a few of the most interesting web3 bits for you to consumer over the weekend. Today will be focused on governance - why it matters, recent issues and directions for research. Writings Portal for all things governance research focused. If you're interested in DAO/crypto governance - start here. Your checklist for when to launch a token A Governance analysis Is DAO governance problematic? Yes. Good governance should focus on four questions to ensure the...